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Marine Alliance for Science and Technology for Scotland

Marine Climate Change Forum

Welcome to the MASTS Marine Climate Change Forum

This Forum provides a platform for knowledge exchange (information, education, networking), enabling the MASTS community to collaborate on Marine Climate Change. As a more holistic approach to studying marine climate change is needed to solve present issues this Forum engages researchers representing a variety of disciplines.

A Humpback Whale jumping out of the water

News & Events

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Forum Activities

Open Forum Sessions

MASTS Open Forum Sessions aim at connecting the MASTS community with its diverse Research Forums and Steering Groups. At these online sessions, Forums “open their doors” to present their members’ work, network with the community and exchange ideas on Forum objectives and activities. Volunteers or recommendations for speakers are always welcomed and should please be addressed to masts@st-andrews.ac.uk.

“Climate change drivers in UK regional seas & Scottish deep seas (2025)

Speakers: Dr Heather Sugden and Dr Nova Mieszkowska, Newcastle University

Anthropogenic climate change has been re-shaping biogeographic patterns of species, causing shifts at all levels of ecosystem, alongside driving phenological changes. Such responses at all levels of biological organization are ultimately driven by temperature change, especially in marine invertebrate and macroalgae species. Within assemblages the composition and relative abundance of species with different thermal affinities are being re-sorted. Disturbance due to extreme weather events is superimposed upon these long-term patterns of response to climate. Greater amplitude and more frequent return times of extreme events are already occurring and predicted to accelerate, themselves being symptoms of climate change. Both extreme events and pervasive climate change will have direct effects on individuals and hence populations, with consequences for community structure and ecosystem functioning. This is especially so when the species affected are important foundation species and/or ecosystem engineers, dominating space and providing biogenic habitat for others, often by ameliorating environmental conditions. Historic records have helped to build a picture of intertidal rocky shore communities from the 1900s from several biogeographic areas when there was a groundswell of amateur naturalists. The MarClim project was conceived to bring together historical records across the biogeographic distribution of the UK regional seas and continue to monitor intertidal species taken from these records to track movements of key indicator species. Surveys track the abundance and distribution of 87 species of invertebrates and macroalgae at 100 sites around the UK Regional Seas and northern France on an annual basis. The project has recorded some of the fastest distributional shifts in leading and trailing range edges of species in any natural system and spans over half a century. Using these long-term data, alongside short-term observational and experimental studies provide an opportunity to investigate the impacts of short term change through extreme events, versus longer-term sustained shifts in species abundance and community composition.

Speaker: Dr Johanne Vad, University of Edinburgh

Most of the United Kingdom’s deep sea (deeper than 200 m) is in Scottish waters. Scotland’s deep sea, is around four times bigger than Scotland itself and hosts a diverse range of habitats, such as submarine ridges, banks, seamounts, coral and sponge reefs, expansive soft sediments and sand waves. Biodiversity in these deep-sea habitats is extremely high but Scotland’s deep-sea ecosystems are threatened by human-induced climate change, pollution, and the extraction of fish and other resources. Deep-sea environments are generally less variable over short time scales than coastal ecosystems, making deep-sea species and habitats more sensitive to climate change impacts.

The MASTS Deep Sea Research Forum created a Working Group in 2024 to produce an interactive Story Map and accompanying Policy Brief to highlight main climate change drivers and case studies, as well as predictions of future scenarios and recommendations for policymakers and other stakeholders involved.

MASTS Working Groups

MASTS Research Forums and Working Groups form the major scientific driving force of the MASTS community. Working Groups (WG) provide opportunities for more focused Forum and cross-Forum activities, addressing specific time-bound challenges related to established or emerging areas of marine research, policy initiatives or regulation.

Contribution “Effects of Climate Change Impacts on Scottish Deep Seas”

Members of the Marine Climate Change Forum have joined this Working Group initiated by the MASTS Deep Sea Community, which identified the need for clear communication of the impacts of climate change on Scottish deep-sea ecosystems together with the associated socio-economic impacts.

For more details please visit the Working Group Website!

MASTS Annual Science Meetings

The MASTS ASM is a cross-disciplinary event that brings together the marine science community, with the aim of promoting and communicating research excellence and forging new collaborations. The event includes expert plenary speakers, general science and panel sessions, and e-posters.

The 2024 MASTS ASM offered a wide range of climate change related talks, such as:

  • Michelle Jackson (University of Oxford) “Understanding and Mitigating the Dual Threats of Warming and Pollution”
  • Colin Moffat (SAMS) “Visualizing Climate Change Impacts around Scottish Deep Seas using a Story Map”
  • Marta Santos-Garcia (University of Edinburgh) “Is the Arctic losing Nitrogen?”
  • Susan Fitzer (University of Stirling) “Using biomineralisation responses to predict moluscan species specific pathways for resilience to climate change.”

A comprehensive overview can be found here!

Forum Resources

The latest climate change evidence update on storms and waves has now been published by MCCIP.

This update, led by Dr Lucy Bricheno, from the National Oceanography Centre in Liverpool, indicates that more very severe winter storms will cross over the UK and Ireland in the future.

The newest climate models are generally able to consistently predict storm tracks, showing an increase in large and intense wintertime storms and a greater likelihood of successive storms and compound events. High-impact and low-likelihood events, such as the collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), could strengthen the storm track and winter westerly winds over the North Atlantic. The models also show that even a gradual weakening of the AMOC could lead to stronger storms and larger storm surges. However, it is important to note that there is still considerable uncertainty regarding future changes to North Atlantic storms, much of which are driven by natural variability rather than long-term climate change.

The key ‘takehome messages’ are summarised on the MCCIP storms and waves evidence review page, which also contains a link to the updated review paper.

This report describes a series of surveys of the biodiversity of rocky intertidal seashores around Scotland in September 2020, June to September 2021, and June to September 2022. The work builds on the ongoing MarClim (Marine Biodiversity and Climate Change) programme, started in 2002 and covering the coastlines of Great Britain and Ireland (to 2005) and parts of the Atlantic coasts of mainland Europe.

NatureScot Research Report 1371 – Marine Biodiversity and Climate Change (MarClim): Scotland 2020-2022

  • Coordinated a programme of activities around and at COP26.
  • Increase climate literacy: co-develop a carbon literacy course with the MASTS Graduate School, first iteration of the course to run January 2023

Forum Objectives

Climate Change is a cross-cutting theme within the MASTS remit but has until now not had a dedicated forum. The Marine Climate Change Forum aims to address this, providing a focal point for climate change related research within the MASTS community in synergy with activities by the other MASTS research fora and themes.
The Scottish Government will continue to look to the scientific community to provide the necessary evidence to support climate change policies for adaptation and mitigation. The MASTS community also contributes already to the global knowledge base on the ocean’s role in the Earth’s climate, and climate change impacts, mitigation and adaptation.

  • Horizon Scanning: bring together expertise to identify research priorities, emerging issues, and funding mechanisms.
  • Research Translation: translate research outputs to policy makers and other stakeholders.
  • Foster Collaboration: encourage new collaborations and nurture existing ones to submit funding proposals and PhD studentships.  
  • Outreach: disseminate research topics/themes to a broad audience, including contributing to activities at and around COP26 (November 2021, Glasgow).

These four main aims at their core are built on five common principles: (1) ensuring the MASTS community has opportunities to network, (2) communicating research within and beyond the MASTS community, (3) delivering tangible outputs, (4) amplifying –rather than duplicating– activities, and (5) being inclusive of all disciplines, career stages and organisations.

Forum Steering Group

MASTS Logo, a seahorse
Forum Convenor: Barbara/Bee Berx (University of Aberdeen & Marine Directorate)

Visiting Lecturer | Marine Directorate Climate Change Lead | Environment Monitoring and Assessment Programme Oceanography Group | ICES Working Group on Oceanic Hydrography

Interests: Physical Oceanography | Ocean circulation of the sub-polar North Atlantic and European continental shield | Observation of currents and water properties and their changes through natural variability and human-induced climate change

MASTS Logo, a seahorse
Forum Convenor: Katherine/Kate Wright (Heriot-Watt University)

PhD Student | The Lyell Centre

Interests: (PhD Title) How fisheries release carbon and how fisheries management can help the climate change agenda whilst protecting marine biodiversity.

Sandy Downie (SEPA/Scottish Environmental Protection Agency)
Colin Moffat (Robert Gordon University)
Dan Goldberg (University of Edinburgh)
David Paterson (University of St Andrews)
Jennifer Scott (Heriot-Watt University)
Joanne Porter (Heriot-Watt University)
John Baxter (University of St Andrews)
Kara Layton (University of Aberdeen)
Kayleigh Thomas (JNCC/Joint nature Conservation Committee)

Marine Monitoring Manager

Interests: Marine Protected Areas and Highly Protected Marine Areas | Monitoring marine ecosystems | Marine predator research | Stakeholder engagement

Kevin Scott (St Abbs Marine Station)
Laura Steel (NatureScot)
Marco Fusi (Newcastle University)

Senior Lecturer in Marine Biology | Dove Marine Laboratory, School of Natural and Environmental Science

Interests: Ocean Deoxygenation | Climate Change | Marine productive ecosystem ecology | Ecophysiology | Ecology of microbes-host interaction

Mike Burrows (SAMS-UHI/Scottish Association for Marine Science, University of the Highlands & Islands)
Pablo Diaz (Marine Directorate)
Ricardo Gonzalez-Gil (University of Strathclyde)
Silvia Malagoli (University of Strathclyde)
Simona Aracri (University of Edinburgh)
William Austin (University of St Andrews)
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MASTS Resources

We’re working behind the scenes to bring you a suite of useful, and updateable, resources including: 

  • Find an expert
  • Find facilities & equipment
  • MASTS Publications

 

If you would like to be updated when the resources section is live please let us know.